1. Unsealed Random Pouch Efficiency Analysis
Analysis of the Unsealed Random Pouch, purchasable for 20,000 Gold each.
All Unsealed items appear with equal probability.
Based on the average transaction price on July 12th, the average price of all Unsealed items is 39,372 Gold.
It's theoretically profitable if you do it infinitely, but the actual probability of making a profit is about 30.2%.
It's not a structure where everyone profits.
2. Dark Reforge Material Box Efficiency Analysis
Analysis of the Dark Reforge Material Box, craftable for 1,000 Gold.
Based on the average transaction price on July 12th, the value per box is 2,909 Gold.
A profit of 1,909 Gold per box.
Since the expected value of shards accounts for 1,267 Gold of this, it is not attractive to users who do not need shards.
3. T4 Ancient Grade Bracelet Box Efficiency Analysis
Analysis of the T4 Ancient Grade Bracelet Box, craftable for 2,000 Gold.
Guaranteed acquisition of a personal bracelet with two fixed effects and one 부여 effect.
The probability of getting stats like Specialization, Crit, or Swiftness is 35%.
The probability of getting two stats is 12.25%.
The probability of both stats being valid options is 2.45% (1 valid option if you draw 4).
The cost of drawing 4 is 82,000 Gold.
The probability of getting a total stat of 190 or higher is 16.17%.
You need to draw 252 bracelets to have a chance of getting 1 bracelet worth more than 82,000 Gold.
Consuming 504,000 Gold, the probability of losing money is high.
Including valid options like Attack Speed and 신민지, it's 3.885% (you can acquire 1 of the lowest options by drawing 25, consuming 50,000 Gold).
Conclusion: It is recommended to draw bracelets only if you want to test your luck.